Trends for Indian Retail in 2023

 2022 was a return to near normal for Indian retail. That leads to the question as to what 2023 holds for this sector. Trends that would dominate this sector has been detailed in this article published in The Hindu Business Line. Clicnk on this link to read the full article - Trends that will shape Indian retail this year - The Hindu BusinessLine

Convenience store format in India

Kirana stores or the small neighborhood shop has always been predicted to close down in the face of competition. In the mid 90s when the Foodworld Supermarket chain started, everyone expected these small shops to shut down in that area. Later on with the arrival of several chains and then online retail, this doomsday prediction for these small shops has always been around.

Interestingly, till date these small Kirana shops have not only stuck around but have also managed to keep up with the shopper expectations. They have implemented various value additions like cramming in a few shelves to create a self service shopping experience, extended hours of operation, better service, etc.

Coupled with their penetration in any locality, they are truly the Indian version of convenience stores.

However, this might be challenged, soon. Already a few convenience store chains have started and recently a global retail chain has announced their entry into India.

How will the kirana stores compete in the face of such direct competition, Will the global chain be able to have a quick and easy entry? Will this finally lead to the Kirana stores to be affected? – Many more such questions have been addressed in my two articles in the “Inside Retail” column of the Business Line on Campus.

The links to these two articles are –

- https://bloncampus.thehindubusinessline.com/columns/inside-retail/can-indias-convenience-stores-stand-up-to-competition-from-abroad/article29856810.ece

- https://bloncampus.thehindubusinessline.com/columns/inside-retail/challenges-for-7-eleven-store-chain-in-india/article29983936.ece

Please share your views and comments about this.

Formats and Shopper Expectations

It was perfectly acceptable to see names like Bharat Departmental stores or even Bharat Mall even for stores which were only 400 – 500 square foot on average and be crammed with products with the shop owner serving the customers from across the counter. However, this was ironical because Bharat Departmental stores would neither be large, nor presented in well defined departments and most definitely not lifestyle led as the name would lead one to believe. 

It is no wonder that this small temporary stall decided that a pun on the world’s largest retailer was a perfectly acceptable thing to do.

This was mainly because of the shopper frequenting a store mainly because of their personal relationship and trust. As such the name of the store actually made no difference to the shopper and it ended up being a reflection of the shop owner’s aspiration.

Fast forward to 2015 and the shoppers are changing. This change in shopper’s orientation was driven home when I saw an advertisement for a regional retailer who has largely been known for apparel till now, announcing the launch of a 'Hyper" store. 

CLICK here to read my ET Retail article about these changes in shopper expectation and behavior which has led to format definitions to become important and accurate.

An Indian & A Retailer’s 20 year old journey

May 9th holds a special place in my heart as it is the day when the first store branded as Foodworld was opened by RPG Retail (now known as Spencer’s Retail). Retail as a sector has been a great teacher and also given a lot to me personally. So this is a day to remember all that and give thanks as also reminisce about the remarkable journey over the past 20 years. The one thing that stands out when I recall the milestones of this journey is that change has always been a constant as also resistance to change has also been a constant.

Success has come to those who embrace change and in some ways anticipate change.

One example of such resistance to change is the back story to my decision to join Foodworld. At the time, all my friends and relatives were shocked and aghast by this and felt that this was a completely stupid and suicidal career move. After all who is going to switch over from the trusted, convenient neighborhood store and shop at supermarkets? For me, this was the challenge; making shoppers switch their buying behavior. Challenges were aplenty and managing this change and many more led to a fundamental shift and today modern trade/ chain stores are approximately 10% of the overall Retail in India. It is still early years and the journey is not over and “Abhi toh picture baki hain” as the dialogue goes in a popular Hindi film.

The journey till date and a snapshot of the changes and challenges that have been milestones have been detailed in an article for ET Retail titled “Disruptions & Consolidations of Indian Retail Sector”. Click Here to read this account of the twenty year Indian Retail journey.

One key thing that stands out as a reason and enabled those in the Indian Retail journey in managing these sweeping changes has been the ability to “Learn, Unlearn and Relearn”. This is a quote by Alvin Toffler and is very pertinent to the context of rapid change. Although this does seem simple enough, it is quite difficult to internalize.

This video about a cycle which had the handle bar turning the opposite way helps drive home the point as also the challenges in “Learning, Unlearning and relearning”. 

The key barrier to this remains our thinking process, conditioning and the bias that we build up over time. Going forward Indian Retail is bound to become more challenging with varied stake holders, demanding customers and changing operating paradigms. Only those who can “Learn, Unlearn and Relearn” will survive and succeed.

A Retailer's wish list to Mr. Modi

In the din created by the argument and debate about FDI in multi brand Retail, several key issues about Indian Retail is falling between the tables. The fact is that the largest constituent of this sector; the 12 to 14 million stand alone stores cannot be ignored in any policy decision.

However, these hardy, smart and extremely resourceful businessmen do not need pseudo protectionism but a whole series of policy initiatives which will empower them to grow and succeed.

Having been a part of the Indian retail story I have put down a list of things which would benefit the various constituents of the Indian Retail sector. The first in this wish list is granting of industry status for Retail and a whole set of policy directives built around the industry status.

Click here to read the complete “Retailer’s wish list to Mr. Modi”.

Ingenuity of the small shop keeper

Sometime ago I had written about the app developed by Neiman Marcus and how they had rolled it out under the umbrella of NM Service which offers a personalized shopping experience. They then discarded that by giving their store staff iPhones to be able to connect with the customers. It must have cost them quite a bit to go through that learning curve.

My admiration for the small, stand alone shop keepers in India went up another notch when I read this article about how one of them has started to leverage WhatsApp for better customer connect and service. Although several Retailers and shop owners have populated facebook and some are even active on Twitter, the use of WhatsApp to be able to connect in real time and provide immediate service is a great idea.

I am sure that many more such store owners will soon adopt this idea. This flexibility and nimble footed response to customers is just one of the things that chain Retailers need to learn. The other interesting lesson is the ability to adopt low cost or even zero cost resources to improve their businesses.

Such a cost sensitive thinking towards effective solutions will go a long way in ensuring success, especially in retail which is a low margin business.

Indian Retail; data goldmine awaits....

12 or 14 million outlets in India is a large number and also largely based on approximation. This same approach also works for generating the secondary or Retail sales data for most product categories in India. Even after so much of advances in mobile devices and technology most of the sales data is based on a representative sample which is indicative at best.

There is a powerful data goldmine waiting to be tapped into and I have recently written an article for Business Line wherein this issue has been discussed including a possible solution. This might end up being a Win:Win for all parties concerned and the Kirana or stand alone shop keeper might be benefited the most.

Yet another idea to support these traditional shop keepers and a governmental agency might be a good starting point to take this forward.

Click here to read the full article and share your views and comments.

Indian Retail - Point & Counter Point: Can interesting formats like this be viable?

Soda or carbonated drinks have been around for a long, long time and is often consumed under medical pretext. People tend to drink a carbonated drink to relieve flatulence although the CO2 in the drink does not really do anything to actually help!

During an earlier stint with a leading soft drink brand, I have heard of some weird stories which include patients with fever being prescribed a orange carbonated drink which was very popular in the southern Tamil Nadu markets.

Suffice to say that carbonated drinks have been and will continue to be popular. Although increasingly one does not see the ubiquitous “Goli Soda” which has an interesting looking bottle with a round glass marble inside. This which would seal the bottle’s top due to internal pressure.

During a recent trip to Coimbatore I noticed this interesting outlet named “Planet Soda”. They have this very innovative soda making and dispensing machine as you can see in the picture.

Each cup is sold for Rs. 10,/- and my guess is that the cost of that would be a maximum of Rs. 5/- after including electricity costs. This would give an approximate margin of 50% which is not bad assuming enough volumes are there to convert this into a respectable rupee earning.

So, this is a great idea for an incremental offering for small stand alone shops as also larger stores, with some space to spare.  This might even be a great idea for malls and larger chain stores. Stores can have such machines just outside their billing areas. Any excess or unused space which is customer facing can be used for this and the real estate can be monetized.

When I checked up on the penetration of this idea I found that apart from Planet Soda, which operates in the Coimbatore belt, another company in Ahmedabad - Geleriya Products - is quite active in this space and have a similar offering. As the actual technology involved is relatively simple, it might be just a matter of time before this takes off in a big way, if marketed and promoted well.

CLICK Here to join the discussion and share your views on my page.

What is Innovation in the Retail context?

The word innovation conjures up images of cutting edge ideas and new things which are dramatically different and stand out. The unsaid component of innovation is the influence of large doses of intellectual thought and creativity. No wonder innovation is so very highly rated - one might even say over rated.

In the context of Retail, the word innovation is obviously linked up with absolutely marvellous and cutting edge ideas. But is that true?

I was a part of the Retail panel for the ISB Leadership Summit 2011 at Hyderabad and it was a great experience to share dais space with the likes of Mr. R Sriram who founded Crossword book stores, Mr. Ajay Kaul, the head of Jubilant Foodworks (Dominos), Mr. Harish Bahl of the Smile group and Mr. Suhas Tuljapurkar of Legasis Pertners.

One of the questions fielded was about what kind of innovations will help in Indian Retail. I identified so much with the response given by Mr. Sriram that I wanted to share that and my thoughts about it on the blog.

He said that innovation should facilitate and make the life of the customer easier. A simple example of the innovation of Cash on Delivery (CoD) which is considered to a major factor in success of e-commerce sites like Flipkart. It has actually been in vogue for ages now by the neighbourhood grocer. It is a good example of adopting a good idea to a changed context.

This is so much in sync with my view about innovation.

Innovation is about simplifying things. It is not about complicating things. Unfortunately, when things are simplified, the perception is not about great thought or intellectual prowess. Actually, it could not be further from the truth.

Definitely innovation should facilitate and make the life of the target audience simpler. However, the larger part of innovation is simplifying things. Whether it is a product, process or a system, simple and easy to use are the keywords that define true innovation.

Some good Indian examples, a few of which feature earlier in the blog are –

- Baskets with wheels. Simple but profoundly useful.
- Mobile stock check to ensure availability.

So, remember to keep the cardinal rule of simplifying when thinking innovation, at least with regard to Retail. Do share any examples about innovation that you have witnessed in this regard.

Reality Check!

I stay in one of those relatively quiet streets which does not have too much of traffic by virtue of it being a cul-de-sac. The other side of the coin is that the street is targeted as a free parking spot by everyone who knows of its location.

We often used to find that autorikshaws would be left parked through the night and they would then disappear in the morning. Given the current scenario where one never knows what danger lurks in such unknown vehicles the residents complained to the traffic police and they finally got the autos removed.

It was quite a surprise to learn that these autos were owned by a flower vendor. I shall come back to this.

Today morning while out for a walk I saw a person come in a scooter, park it, open a Maruti Van and get ready to drive away. I stopped this person and asked him who he was and why he had parked the van in the street? He said that the van also belongs to the flower vendor whose autos had been removed. He further explained that they park all the vehicles here as it was safe!

Now, this flower vendor typically stands outside a supermarket on the main road and sells flowers which are piled up on a wicker tray, mounted to his cycle. His typical bargaining point is how a few rupees will not make a difference to the customer but is a big difference to him. The poor guy!

This poor guy owns a couple of autos, a Maruti van, a scooter and that’s only what we have come to know. Obviously he pays no sales tax or any other government levies although he uses all the civic amenities. As often mentioned by me, I do admire the business acumen of these Indian traders. At the same time, it is such smart and savvy people that the government wants to protect because of which the FDI debate is raging.

If FDI is allowed and corporate Retail grows there will be more accountability, increased tax inflows and more credible employment opportunities. Why are we avoiding this step forward?

In this context I had participated in a panel discussion about this topic organised by SSN School of Management & Computer Applications and The Business Line Club. (The coverage about this event can be found on this URL - It wont be a cakewalk for foreign retailers). One of the participants asked the mandatory question of whether FDI will kill the small Retailer. I do wish I can bring him and introduce him to the poor flower vendor who owns a few autos, Maruti van, etc. etc.

Indigenous cost control & Margin Maximization

I am a strong advocate of the conventional neighborhood outlets simply because they display a remarkable amount of ownership and flexibility. I have illustrated this with several posts and also in my book "The INDIAN reTALEs". A few days ago during one of my teaching sessions the familiar debate of how will such stores survive came up. The usual points were covered and I returned to Chennai.

Yesterday we had to purchase a few things and picked it up from a neighborhood medical store. First point to illustrate flexibility; these stores have quickly realized the value of an extended range very similar to how supermarkets evolved into hypermarkets. More range for the existing customer base is equal to obviously more sales.

So, this store too offers a variety of products which are not medicines only.

My first observation was that the carry bag given was actually a branded bag of a national supermarket chain. Simple cost cutting measure for this conventional store. He must have picked up a few bags either during multiple visits to that store or even brought it off from an unscrupulous staff for a pittance. Or the vendor must have offered these extra stocks of bags at a throw away price because they cannot be sold otherwise. Essentially, the medical shop owner spotted an opportunity to cut costs and leveraged it fully.

Next, when I came home and opened the bag to use the purchased products, I was amused to find a price sticker of a different store on the pack. There is a large format discount store in Chennai which is famous for its low prices. The medical shop owner must be picking up a lot of his extended range of products from this store as getting into the distribution system for these products might not be worth it given the low volumes that he can offer. See the picture below. The store name is clear while the price has been struck out. Guess, it would have been a better idea to strike out the store name. But then all his customers might not be a Retailer like me.

This is where the large format store is morphing into cash & carry operations, also. As mentioned in my book, operators interested in India entry might do well to enter this potent segment with potential, instead of lamenting about FDI.

Coming back to the medical store. I cannot but appreciate the remarkable ownership, flexibility and focus that the owner shows and is therefore rewarded with a sustainable business. However, is it scalable? I doubt it. A chain of discount stores used to encourage its buyers to take cash and make opportunity buys from the wholesale markets whenever there was a very attractive trade scheme. It obviously did not sustain as the chain has been closed down.

Regardless one has to appreciate the initiative of the conventional store owner in this as compared to any organizational chain stores wherein cost cutting or margin improvement will result in a whole series of meeting and presentations! The take out is that such organizational chain stores need to bring in more of a trader/ shop owner mentality without compromising on systems and processes to develop a win:win formula.

What a Birthday present!!

Almost to the day, it has been a year since “An Indian and A Retailer” made its debut. The thoughts of this blog grew into an in-depth, experiential book about Indian Retail, titled “The INDIAN reTALEs”.

All this happened in the space of the past 365 or maybe 366 days!

And on the first birthday of the blog, I hold a physical copy of “The INDIAN reTALEs” and wish a very happy birthday to the blog.

This book has been published by Unicorn Books and is now available for purchase with an online discount of 25% at pustakmahal (dot) com. It would be available at leading book stores over the next couple of weeks.

Please start enquiring at your nearest book store about the book and get your hands on it as soon as possible.

Thanks to everyone who supported, encouraged and motivated me along this journey. Hope you enjoy reading the tales as much as you have this blog.

To be launched soon...

March 20th, 2009 is a memorable day as that is when I started the blog “An Indian and A Retailer”. It was actually started suddenly on a whim and before I knew, it had gained a life and momentum of its own. A whole lot of people saw the blog, wrote to me and commented on the posts. Very soon, it was being quoted by Retail and Strategy consultants during their presentations.

I came to know about the widespread popularity of the blog when one such consultant referred to a post during their presentation regarding supply chain. Several members of the audience were my good friends and ex colleagues. Obviously they wasted no time in calling me up and congratulating me.

The blog has been receiving a steady viewership and the walk-in counter is set to cross the 12,000 mark soon. Indicating that on an average 1,000 odd people view my blog every month. 30, persons a day. Not bad for something I started just like that!

My sincere thanks to all those who have steadily viewed and supported the blog.

This support and motivation was voiced to me by several visitors to the blog in the form of a suggestion. Why not write a book. Their contention was that given the depth and detail of Retail information and knowledge available, why not expand on the same and publish a book. It would reach more people and benefit them.

In June 2009, I started acting on this suggestion and worked on putting a book together while contacting publishers. March 2010, this dream effort is ready to see the light of the day. Just ahead of the first anniversary of this blog.

Presenting - “The Indian reTALEs”

The book should be published shortly and for now the cover and an overview can be viewed on @ unicornbooks (dot) com.

Look forward to a similar support to the book. Please do spread the word; Post on your Facebook profiles, Tweet about it, mail your contacts, etc. Please help propagate the news of “The Indian reTALEs”.

How will they do assortment planning!!

In the previous post, I was mentioning about a truly different store and next to it was another truly different store. A store selling Indian drugs (medicines).

Another interesting store which is different in terms of assortment and presentation.

While walking through this shop I started marvelling about the challenge they would face with regards to assortment planning and inventory control. Understanding such diversities of Indian Retail is what would help create a world class Retail mechanism in India.

The variables to be handled and managed are far too many and too complex. Yet, they do it and do it well. But, for 1 store or maybe a few stores. The challenge facing Indian Retail is how such interesting and disparate ideas can be scaled up using systems and processes.

This can be done and if anyone says otherwise don’t believe them!

Reader's Feedback/ Comment

I would like to share a few comments received from a reader. My views are in italics.

Chanced upon your blogsite from one of your articles in tickled by life. It is nice. Though I am not a retailer by profession or passion - I thought of sharing my 2 cents on this topic.

1) Why do we have to ape the west in terms of retailing models & instead why not we have our own models?
It is very difficult to strictly compartmentalise formats and models as western or Indian. Even the over the counter model was prevalent in the west before the self service formats became popular. Broadly speaking retail can be either a convenience store, Supermarket, Hypermarket, Cash & Carry, Price Clubs, Specialty retail, etc. These are generic labels and universal. However, how it is implemented is country dependent. For example supermarkets abroad are typically much larger than the average 3,000 sq. ft. stores found in India. So, in that sense the format are being modified for India but it is in the evolutionary phase and one can expect to see a lot of action on this front.

2) For staples why not we have something like a pizza delivery model - where one could use a phone and have them delivered at home. (This one partly stems from my laziness of pushing the cart around in a shop) And for the other items, where the customer has usually made his mind on the brand, and why not adopt the above model.
This format is the key value offering of Kirana’s. They prefer this model to maximise sales from their relatively smaller store to leverage the kind of products that has been mentioned by the reader; generic grocery and products already decided by the customer. This was also tried out by a company in Mumbai – Sangam Direct. However, once the customer gets used to the “Touch, Feel & See” experience, it is difficult to substitute that.

It is a fact that as much as 30% of a customer’s basket in a self service format was unplanned purchases. If the retailer delinked the must-have purchases from the impulse ones, the overall sales would drop because impulse purchases would definitely decrease.

3) As for the issues of the customer trying new brands / in store promotion- why can't this be shifted to the customer’s house - will be more targeted / focussed and measurable.
The logistics and cost of trying this is not feasible. Earlier one would have seen sales people coming to the homes with samples and selling products of even famous brands. Increased security concerns and proliferation of apartments have made it difficult for such people to gain entry into homes. Also, as mentioned earlier, the retailer’s effort is to induce the shopper to enhance the basket while purchasing the must-have products. For that, the customer needs to come to a store where a range is on display.

4) And lastly why can't the local kirana stores be used as an order fulfilment mechanism - this way we do not drive them out of business and be on the right side (politically).
This is an idea worth exploring only if the retailer is operating a tele ordering/ web based or catalogue format.

5) Yes, I agree quality is one of the issues - but there are ways of tackling them - probably standardizing them. By this mechanism we save on retail space, high rentals and other costs.
As mentioned above, a virtual store can definitely leverage the local kirana as a delivery point. However, tracking availability, delivery of order, payment collection and transmission onwards would be very complicated unless the store became a franchisee.

Will FDI in Retail happen now?

With a clear majority and a free “hand”, the new government might want to implement some of the things which had to be compromised in the previous innings. One such was the allowing of FDI in Retail without strings such as single brand or cash & carry, etc. Most people in the Retail sector today expect that FDI in Retail would soon be allowed and this would help big developments and also bring in global expertise.

A couple of points in my mind about this development and the expectations from such an outcome –

1. Industry status for Retail is required immediately, thereby enabling Retail to avail various benefits from this. This would do much in addressing several issues related to licensing, statutory matters and more importantly access to credit.
2. Regardless of the industry status, licensing requirements for Retail should be streamlined and unified. Today, depending on the range of products one has in a store as many as 13 – 15 different kinds of licenses are required across a wide range of governmental agencies/ departments. Apart from the time and effort required to get these licenses, which could also vary depending on the state, the effort needed to renew and manage these is time consuming and is a pain.
3. MRP, do we need it? Had written about this earlier (http://v-rajesh.blogspot.com/2009/04/mrp-do-we-need-it.html ) and I think the time has come to do away with this or relook at its role. When significant investments are expected in Retail, be it the front end or the back end, the operators should be allowed to leverage pricing based on the other components of the value proposition. To force fit one price for all, disregarding costs of location, service, etc., is not viable in the long run.
4. Zoning and classification in cities is long overdue and in some cases only on paper. How will this help? The rental costs would be rationalized, especially as we seem to be heading towards a recovery and possible escalation of real estate prices again.

FDI or no FDI, the above four points need immediate attention and some forward thinking solutions if Retail as a sector needs to grow and thrive over a period of time.
Of course, some would include a 5th point of defining/ restricting sizes, formats and locations to protect the small kiranas. However, I don’t think that is feasible and anyways with proper zoning classifications this would be taken care of in a way. Also, if Kirana stores were accorded a status similar to small scale industries, they would fare better. Anyways, as I mentioned in another post of mine (http://v-rajesh.blogspot.com/2009/04/hidden-advantage.html), their cost structure gives them several inherent advantages and the only disadvantage they have is not being able to aggregate volumes.

Which brings me to an important point with regards to entrants waiting to leverage the opening up of FDI. It would be prudent to understand the Indian customers and focus on the backend more than the front end and this can be done immediately without waiting for FDI rules to change. Worse case scenario, such operators can leverage the supply chain that they invest in for the other Retailers.

Here is where understanding Indian consuming habits is crucial. It is no use focusing only of distribution centres, transportation, etc. This would address only 60% to 70% of the household consumption in terms of FMCG/ packaged products. Also, given the MRP scenario, there is a limit to how much value can be generated by focusing on the supply chain of these categories.

30% to 40% of Indian consumption is basic staples and grocery items as also fresh products. Significant work needs to be done in this sphere to extract value from the supply chain. Being dependent on the same wholesale/ semi-wholesale chain with marginal infrastructure at the tail end will not help. Paradigm changing initiatives like end to end cold chain, cooperative/ corporate farm, etc. needs to be explored and indulged in to extract the value that is present, but is now lost due to damages and intermediaries.

Indian consumers have already experienced and in most cases embraced the self service, modern formats. Therefore, the game changer for a new entrant would not be setting up another air conditioned store with maybe better facilities but in offering a significantly better value proposition. And for that, the key would be the back end.

In summary, FDI might be around the corner. But, to truly leverage that the government should look at making crucial changes and the operators should start working now in putting the infrastructure in place.

Ingenious Indian Retail

Have been invited to write a piece about Indian Retail for an international publication and while I was mulling about the topic I happened to see this coconut semi-wholesaler/ retailer. This is located in Mylapore, Chennai, India. This is the heart of a city where rentals are in the range of Rs. 100/- odd per sq. ft.

See how innovatively the space has been used. It is nothing short of genius. Also, given that the space would be normally treated as dead space, this guy would have got it at ridiculously a low rent. Just in case the premises was owned, imagine the ROI.

Can anyone guess the Sales per sq. ft. or GMROI or GMROF!!!!

End of the day, retailing is not rocket science. Remember the basic model and stick to it as an obsession!!

CRM in a Kirana's Context!

What is the service that the Kirana delivers that constitutes value? He caters to our whim and fancy; literally and figuratively. By sending even a small item to our homes, taking orders even at 9.30 p.m. and so on. And also by remembering the exams of our children, remembering to ask how your backache is, being contrite when something is not good and so on.

And what enables him to do that? CRM. Not the customer relationship management that one usually reads about. His CRM is Care, Respect and therefore the Motivation to shop with him.

There are two parts to this; His ability to recognize you and your family members, remember your shopping habits and more importantly your monthly spends. Then his brain analyses and generates business intelligence in the form of your lifetime value to him.

I used to stay alone in Bangalore for work and there was the ubiquitous Kirana near the apartment complex. I went and introduced myself and was promptly given his telephone number with a promise that I can call anytime for anything. A few days later I called for some soft drinks as I had guests. He was apologetic but could not come as his delivery boy was not there. As I was coming down in the lift, his delivery boy entered the compound with some things to deliver, obviously not for me. What had happened? He must have done his homework and determined that my lifetime value to him was not worth the trouble!


Lifetime value of a consumer - This is the intent behind most loyalty programs. But how many deliver?

The hidden advantage!

We have all been reading about how corporate retail would wipe out the conventional traders and render millions jobless. The picture of David Vs Goliath and the helplessness of these traders has been painted well enough for major national parties to include that FDI would not be allowed in retail.

Interesting. It proves the point that if repeated often enough the most outlandish idea can become gospel truth!

When the first Foodworld store opened in C P Ramasamy Road, Chennai there used to be a street vendor of fruits who had set up shop on the platform. He would sell from the usual small stalls found by the road side which would not be larger than your average computer table. This was in 1996. We soon realized that he had a simple competitive strategy. He would ask customers what was the price of the fruit at Foodworld and offer to sell it at a Rupee or two less. Plus his personal attention and assurances of quality ensured that he survived. This is in spite of repeated instances of encroachment clearance drives by the corporation and police officials. See for yourself how his business is today!

Hope you noticed how close the fruit vendor is to the store and also how he has grown from a stall to what he is today.

How is this possible? Simply because of the huge disparity in the cost structure of corporate retail Vs conventional traders, leave alone street vendors.

A corporate retailer has to pay rentals at market rate which could be as high as Rs.40 to Rs. 50 per sq. ft. or even higher. Employees are paid as per the labour law which means minimum wages, PF, etc. All the required licenses and fees have to be paid, including a special fee to keep the store open for 7 days. This is because as per the shops and establishments act, a store has to have a weekly off. This in turn is because retail is not recognized as an industry and hence specific needs for retail are not addresses. It’s a long story and best told separately.
Now compare this to the conventional trader.

I have known of instances where the shop keeper pays a rental of a few hundred rupees because the shop has been there for years and the rent was subject to the erstwhile rent control act. This would translate to a rental of less than a rupee per sq. ft.! Of course, we have also seen various stores operating out of what was originally a garage or the front part of a house, modified for a store. Rent accounts for as much as 5 – 6% of a corporate retailers cost break up. Imagine the buffer that a conventional trader enjoys in this single cost structure alone!

The next largest share of cost is with regards to manpower. Again being roughly 5% of the total cost. We have all seen the kind of staff/ helpers that are present in conventional outlets. They are usually relatives or known people from the native village of the shop keeper. They would be paid a meager amount, plus provided food and minimal clothing. Usually they stay at the shop or at the shop keepers home and also double up as domestic help. Talk of enhancing productivity!
Do you really think that conventional traders would spend so much on manpower as compared to a corporate chain?

Plus you have a whole host of smaller cushions to be leveraged like savings on licenses, commercial tax rates for electricity, etc.

As part of an earlier assignment I was tasked with registering conventional traders and businesses for membership. The initial criterion was sales tax registration. When my team came back and reported that a majority claimed not to have that a few other business licenses were included after getting approval of the same. Imagine my surprise when repeatedly I would hear that stores did not have even weights and measures registration, leave alone shops and establishment licenses. I was personally present when we walked into a old, well established, large saree shop. The owner was outraged when we requested his sales tax number for issuing the membership. He said “No one has dared asked me for sales tax registration for decades. Who are you to suggest that I should have a sales tax registration”.

I rest my case!

Where is the real advantage? The conventional trader requires a far lesser sales turnover to break even as compared to a corporate chain. As also, they are equipped to fight on the pricing front by discounting and still make money.

The only disadvantage would be in terms of scalability which would enable some cost benefits due to aggregating volumes. However, given the current scenario the cost structure advantage is in the advantage of the conventional and corporate chains would require a far bigger level to volume aggregation to counter that.

Lastly, we don’t have clearly demarcated Central Business Districts (CBD) and residential zones. As such requirements for an "around the corner" conventional store would never cease. At least, in the foreseeable future.

I wonder who the helpless one is!

Small format wins

This was a piece I wrote in April 2006 when the "FDI in retail" debate was at it's peak, about how Kirana stores would always thrive. Is this relevant even now after 3 years?
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In the Indian Retail Scenario, the small format neighborhood store will continue to flourish and grow, midst all the large format discounters. This has been so in most developed countries also. In fact, this development that will sustain any cash and carry operator as this segment next to the hotels is core to any cash and carry operator.

This is because of some very specific factors in the Indian socio economic and physical environment. These are –

Real estate costs and location – Large format discount food formats would have to look at operating in the suburbs, simply because of the rental structure in a CBD. This has implications in terms of a trade off between location and size, which then affects range. Of course formats which leverage the higher margins of general merchandise and offer food as a marginal range might be able to trade off and survive in city centre locations. But for how long is the question in the face of rising real estate costs.

Gap in supply Vs demand of real estate – Linked to the above factor is the gap in supply vs. demand in real estate. This is bound to put pressure on any retail operator with regards to the cost structure. In this context a pure discount led food format, especially a large store would be very difficult to sustain in a sustained manner.

Car ownership – Even with the explosive growth seen in recent year’s car ownership remains much lower than in the west. Take the case of dual car ownership and the situation is even bleaker. Driving to a suburban location, while juggling various other chores and duties would always be a dilemma. Especially, if there are small format stores offering good value in the immediate neighborhood.

Emerging lifestyle – 24/7 is a lifestyle most working couples are embracing if not by design then by default due to the pressures of work. This has redefined the priorities and preferences in a significant manner in most cities. Free time is precious and people choose to spend it in recreation and entertainment instead of engaging in activities that are boring, routine and stressful. With the initial novelty of a supermarket store having worn off, the primary value expected from these operators is one of convenience. It is a trade off between convenience and comfort vs. savings that will determine the choice of going to a large format vs. neighborhood store.